1) Mumbai North Sanjay Brijkishorlal Nirupam (Cong) defeated Ram Naik (BJP) by 5779 votes
2) Mumbai North West Ad.Kamat Gurudas Vasant (Cong) defeated Gajanan Kirtikar (SS) by 38415 votes
3) Mumbai North East Sanjay Dina Patil (Cong) defeated Kirit Somaiya (BJP) by 2933 votes
4) Mumbai North Central Dutt Priya Sunil (Cong) defeated Mahesh Ram Jethmalani (BJP) by 174555 votes
5) Mumbai South Central Eknath M. Gaikwad (Cong) defeated Suresh Anant Gambhir (SS) by 75706 votes
6) Mumbai South Deora Milind Murli (Cong) defeated Bala Nandgaonkar (MNS) by 112682 votes
7) Thane Dr.Sanjeev Ganesh Naik (Cong) defeated Chaugule Vijay Laxman (SS) by 49020 votes
8) Kalyan Anand Prakash Paranjape (SS) defeated Davkhare Vasant Shankarrao (NCP) by 24202 votes
Kirit Somaiya and Ram Naik have proved their standing in the political life of the city. Mahesh Jethmalani and Ram Jethmalani always make things difficult for the party and people by taking up cases of many criminal suspects. They combined defending high profile criminal suspects with politics successfully but the unease in the party and people is very clear.
Shiv Sena seems to have been hurt with the division in their leadership ranks.
Dr. Sanjeev Ganesh Naik, got a doctorate (probably honorary) from a Tamil university in USA which has four pages in its web site and says it is a distance education centre of some Indian universities. But he has used it consistently in all his publicity material.
Some professionals have entered fray this time. They may not have got many votes. But it is welcome trend. They should contest once again for assembly this time and this election experience will come in handy for them in doing much more adequate campaigning. We need fresh faces in assemblies and parliament all the time.
Sunday, May 17, 2009
Monday, May 11, 2009
2009 Elections - Forecast for BJP's Performance
Anantha's forecast
Things look grim for the BJP. As per my latest calculation, I can't see the lotus bloom in more than 130 seats. That's 8 seats lesser than 2004. Here's the statewise break-up as I see it:
NORTH - 26/126
Uttar Pradesh - 6/80
Uttar Khand - 4/5
Punjab - 3/13
Chandigarh - 1/1
Himachal - 3/4
Haryana - 3/10
Delhi - 4/7
J&K - 2/6
WEST - 72/143
Maharashtra - 18/48
Goa - 1/2
Daman - 1/1
Dadra Nagar - 1/1
Madhya Pradesh - 17/29
Chattisgarh - 7/11
Rajasthan - 9/25
Gujarat - 18/26
SOUTH - 14/131
Kerala - 0/20
Karnataka - 14/28
Tamil Nadu - 0/39
Pondichery - 0/1
Andhra - 0/42
Lakshadweep - 0/1
EAST - 26/143
Bihar - 10/40
Jharkand - 8/14
West Bengal - 0/42
Orissa - 3/21
Assam - 3/14
Arunachal - 1/2
Tripura - 0/2
Mizoram - 0/1
Manipur - 0/2
Meghalaya - 0/2
Nagaland - 0/1
Andamans - 1/1
Sikkim - 0/1
TOTAL - 130/543
Source: http://unantha.blogspot.com/2009/03/2009-election-analysis-bad-news-for-bjp.html
Could it be like this
NORTH - 36/126
Uttar Pradesh - 16/80
Uttar Khand - 4/5
Punjab - 3/13
Chandigarh - 1/1
Himachal - 3/4
Haryana - 3/10
Delhi - 4/7
J&K - 2/6
WEST - 88/143
Maharashtra - 18/48
Goa - 1/2
Daman - 1/1
Dadra Nagar - 1/1
Madhya Pradesh - 24/29
Chattisgarh - 7/11
Rajasthan - 15/25
Gujarat - 21/26
SOUTH - 26/131
Kerala - 0/20
Karnataka - 22/28
Tamil Nadu - 0/39
Pondichery - 0/1
Andhra - 4/42
Lakshadweep - 0/1
EAST - 32/143
Bihar - 10/40
Jharkand - 8/14
West Bengal - 1/42
Orissa - 5/21
Assam - 5/14
Arunachal - 1/2
Tripura - 0/2
Mizoram - 0/1
Manipur - 0/2
Meghalaya - 1/2
Nagaland - 0/1
Andamans - 1/1
Sikkim - 0/1
TOTAL - 36+88+26+32 =182 out of 543
This figure looks interesting. No doubt Times of India is giving on 145 to BJP but is giving 152 to Congress. But on paper it is not difficult to visualise 175 for BJP.
Things look grim for the BJP. As per my latest calculation, I can't see the lotus bloom in more than 130 seats. That's 8 seats lesser than 2004. Here's the statewise break-up as I see it:
NORTH - 26/126
Uttar Pradesh - 6/80
Uttar Khand - 4/5
Punjab - 3/13
Chandigarh - 1/1
Himachal - 3/4
Haryana - 3/10
Delhi - 4/7
J&K - 2/6
WEST - 72/143
Maharashtra - 18/48
Goa - 1/2
Daman - 1/1
Dadra Nagar - 1/1
Madhya Pradesh - 17/29
Chattisgarh - 7/11
Rajasthan - 9/25
Gujarat - 18/26
SOUTH - 14/131
Kerala - 0/20
Karnataka - 14/28
Tamil Nadu - 0/39
Pondichery - 0/1
Andhra - 0/42
Lakshadweep - 0/1
EAST - 26/143
Bihar - 10/40
Jharkand - 8/14
West Bengal - 0/42
Orissa - 3/21
Assam - 3/14
Arunachal - 1/2
Tripura - 0/2
Mizoram - 0/1
Manipur - 0/2
Meghalaya - 0/2
Nagaland - 0/1
Andamans - 1/1
Sikkim - 0/1
TOTAL - 130/543
Source: http://unantha.blogspot.com/2009/03/2009-election-analysis-bad-news-for-bjp.html
Could it be like this
NORTH - 36/126
Uttar Pradesh - 16/80
Uttar Khand - 4/5
Punjab - 3/13
Chandigarh - 1/1
Himachal - 3/4
Haryana - 3/10
Delhi - 4/7
J&K - 2/6
WEST - 88/143
Maharashtra - 18/48
Goa - 1/2
Daman - 1/1
Dadra Nagar - 1/1
Madhya Pradesh - 24/29
Chattisgarh - 7/11
Rajasthan - 15/25
Gujarat - 21/26
SOUTH - 26/131
Kerala - 0/20
Karnataka - 22/28
Tamil Nadu - 0/39
Pondichery - 0/1
Andhra - 4/42
Lakshadweep - 0/1
EAST - 32/143
Bihar - 10/40
Jharkand - 8/14
West Bengal - 1/42
Orissa - 5/21
Assam - 5/14
Arunachal - 1/2
Tripura - 0/2
Mizoram - 0/1
Manipur - 0/2
Meghalaya - 1/2
Nagaland - 0/1
Andamans - 1/1
Sikkim - 0/1
TOTAL - 36+88+26+32 =182 out of 543
This figure looks interesting. No doubt Times of India is giving on 145 to BJP but is giving 152 to Congress. But on paper it is not difficult to visualise 175 for BJP.
Friday, January 23, 2009
Log On, Switch Off, Make a Difference
A new trend of campaigns, courtesy technology, allows the public to take action against politicians and corporations. It signals better times ahead as the real power now seems to vest with the common man.
Pratik Kanjilal, Publisher of The Little Magazine
pratik@littlemag.com
Hindustan Times, Mumbai, January 24, 2009, Page 10
This article encourages people to take up issues and advocate the viewpoints through email and sms campaigns. One does not have to depend exclusively on the print media journalists
Pratik Kanjilal, Publisher of The Little Magazine
pratik@littlemag.com
Hindustan Times, Mumbai, January 24, 2009, Page 10
This article encourages people to take up issues and advocate the viewpoints through email and sms campaigns. One does not have to depend exclusively on the print media journalists
Emphasize Representing People
Politician at any level in a democracy is a representative of the opinion of people. Both political party members and elected representatives need to have systems in place to accumulate public opinion within their constituency.
Unfortunately such systems are not visible.
There is more emphasis in media as well as in party and government affairs on the leadership and authority and the role of representing people is almost forgotten.
There is a need to emphasize representing people in democratic systems.
Unfortunately such systems are not visible.
There is more emphasis in media as well as in party and government affairs on the leadership and authority and the role of representing people is almost forgotten.
There is a need to emphasize representing people in democratic systems.
Monarchy Out, Democray In, But Dynasty is Entrenched
Democracies have to take steps to prevent emergence of dynasties.
1. A close family relative should not be allowed to take up a political executive office immediately after resignation, retirement, or death of an existing person in position. A gap of ten years or two general elections gap should be recommended.
2. Two members of a family cannot be in same legislative body simultaneously.
1. A close family relative should not be allowed to take up a political executive office immediately after resignation, retirement, or death of an existing person in position. A gap of ten years or two general elections gap should be recommended.
2. Two members of a family cannot be in same legislative body simultaneously.
Thursday, August 7, 2008
Women Officers in Defence to get Permanent Commission
Women Officers in Indian Defence Forces
Service Women Officers - Total officers
Army------945--------------35,377
Airforce--739--------------10,563
Navy------236---------------7,336
August 5 2008
The armed forces agreed in principle to give women officers permanent commission
Service Women Officers - Total officers
Army------945--------------35,377
Airforce--739--------------10,563
Navy------236---------------7,336
August 5 2008
The armed forces agreed in principle to give women officers permanent commission
Monday, June 2, 2008
Definition of Poor People - Europe
I just came across an article in Economic Times of 9 February 2008.
The article was written by Yuri Medvedev. It presents some highlights from a report by Alexel Shevyakov, director of the Social and Economic Population Studies Institute to the Presidium of the Russian Academy of Sciences.
The article mentions that in Europe the powerty indicator is a relative one based on average per capita income of the country.
The poor include people whose incomes are less than 60% of the average per capita income in the country.
Such a definition forces the government and social organizations to think of distribution also along with growth.
Some more information of relative definition of poverty
Research into present-day poverty adopts countless different approaches, many of which fail to do justice to its complexity. Such is the case, for example, with the "basic necessities" approach used to define poverty in the US, where households are considered poor if their income does not cover the minimum expenditure required to satisfy a number of basic needs. Some other income-based approaches are relativistic: the dividing line is drawn somewhere between 50% and 60% of the average income for a given country. In addition, there are definitions used by politicians, subjectivist approaches reflecting public opinion, and approaches based on investigating how people manage to survive without basic goods and services.
http://mondediplo.com/1999/09/06poverty
The article was written by Yuri Medvedev. It presents some highlights from a report by Alexel Shevyakov, director of the Social and Economic Population Studies Institute to the Presidium of the Russian Academy of Sciences.
The article mentions that in Europe the powerty indicator is a relative one based on average per capita income of the country.
The poor include people whose incomes are less than 60% of the average per capita income in the country.
Such a definition forces the government and social organizations to think of distribution also along with growth.
Some more information of relative definition of poverty
Research into present-day poverty adopts countless different approaches, many of which fail to do justice to its complexity. Such is the case, for example, with the "basic necessities" approach used to define poverty in the US, where households are considered poor if their income does not cover the minimum expenditure required to satisfy a number of basic needs. Some other income-based approaches are relativistic: the dividing line is drawn somewhere between 50% and 60% of the average income for a given country. In addition, there are definitions used by politicians, subjectivist approaches reflecting public opinion, and approaches based on investigating how people manage to survive without basic goods and services.
http://mondediplo.com/1999/09/06poverty
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